Nokia sijoituskohteena (Osa 3)

valistuneita arvioita ei taida täältä saada :smiley: mutta jotain tuollaista kombinaatiota varmaan… pitäisi yrittää kaivaa esim ne GSn Nokia optiot, miten niissä osui esim tuohon pvm, muistikuva että ne painottui aina enemmän vuoden loppuihin ja siihen 01/202X päivään
Ainahan nuo ei toki alaspäin, mutta ehkä viimeaikainen markkina on ollut sellainen että odotus alaspäin aina se “valistunut” arvaus, tuo 16.6 näyttää että Nokian kurssi mennyt eri suuntaan kuin nuo 2 vertailuindeksiä

tuolla löytyy jotain tilastoja niistä GSn optioista jotka paljastui kun ylitti 5%n osuuden viime vuonna

puolet oli GSn optioista tuohon viime joulukuun noitapäivään, ja oma epäilyhän aikanaan oli että GS on sen robopelurin takana (eli 1500/1750 jne robo jota se XTXMarkets pyörittää) , en kyllä enää muista mistä näin päättelin :see_no_evil: :joy:

Tässä muuten huviksi ChatGPT näkökulmaa

Triple witching day, also known as “quadruple witching day” when it includes the expiration of stock index futures, is a day when various options and futures contracts expire simultaneously. This convergence of multiple expiration dates can lead to increased trading volume and volatility in the financial markets. While it’s difficult to predict the specific direction of the market on a triple witching day, here are some factors and considerations to keep in mind:

Historical Patterns: Analyzing historical price data and market behavior on previous triple witching days can provide some insights. However, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, and market conditions can change.

Economic Events: Pay attention to any significant economic events or news releases scheduled for that day. Economic indicators, earnings reports, and geopolitical events can have a substantial impact on market direction.

Technical Analysis: Technical analysis involves studying price charts, patterns, and technical indicators to identify potential trends or reversals. Traders often use technical analysis to make short-term trading decisions on days like triple witching.

Market Sentiment: Sentiment analysis involves gauging the mood and sentiment of market participants. News headlines, social media, and market commentary can provide insight into market sentiment, which can influence market direction.

Options Activity: Analyzing options market activity, including open interest and changes in options positions, can provide clues about market expectations. Large options positions and unusual options activity may be indicative of market sentiment.

Volatility: Triple witching days are often associated with increased volatility. Traders and investors should be prepared for rapid price movements in either direction.

Risk Management: Regardless of any predictions, it’s essential to have a well-defined risk management strategy in place. This includes setting stop-loss orders and managing position sizes to protect against significant losses.

Diversification: Diversifying your portfolio can help spread risk. Don’t put all your eggs in one basket, and consider a mix of asset classes and investment strategies.

Consult Experts: If you’re not experienced in trading or investing, it’s wise to consult with a financial advisor or professional who can provide guidance and help you make informed decisions.

It’s important to note that predicting market direction, especially on a specific day like triple witching, is challenging and inherently uncertain. Markets can be influenced by a wide range of factors, including unexpected events. Therefore, it’s crucial to approach trading or investing with caution, proper research, and a well-thought-out strategy. Additionally, consider your risk tolerance and investment goals when making decisions in the financial markets.

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