Shoigu onkin tainnut saada uudelleen pressaksi valitun Putinin valtakoneistossa Patrusevin tehtävät turvallisuusneuvostossa. Patruseville etsitään haasteita, katsotaan mitä tulee.
Venäjä | Venäjä-tutkija Arkady Moshes: Šoigu ei saanut potkuja vaan ylennyksen – Patruševin kohtalo arvoitus: https://www.hs.fi/ulkomaat/art-2000010421585.html
Reporting from Ukraine -kanavan mukaan strategisesti merkittävät kohteet on linnoitettu ja Harkovan hyökkäyksen tavoitteena olisi vain Ukrainan reservien vetäminen idästä pohjoiseen. Kanavan mukaan Venäjän Harkovan liepeillä valtaamat alueet ovat strategisesti ja taktisesti merkityksettömiä.
https://twitter.com/StateOfUkraine/status/1789936787483160824
Russia is deploying reserves from Belgorod to push through Ukrainian defenses in Kharkiv, as Ukrainian resistance has become more organized after the relative chaos of the initial hours/days of Russia’s new offensive. Here’s what’s happening. 1/16
Because the West deprived Ukraine of artillery shells for months, Ukrainians began to rely almost exclusively on FPV drones to compensate, with most drones going to Donbas, where the heaviest fighting was taking place. 2/16
In addition, many of Ukraine’s best drone units/operators were deployed to where the fighting was happening, and until a few days ago, that was not Kharkiv. As a result, there has been a severe lack of drones on the Kharkiv front. 3/16
Allocating enough drones and experienced operators to Kharkiv is now a priority, but is complicated by the fact that, in the absence of sufficient weapons from the West, these are the primary resources helping keeping Russians at bay elsewhere. 4/16
Adding to the already difficult situation is team Biden’s refusal to allow Ukraine to use any US weapons, particularly HIMARS-launched munitions to strike Russian staging areas across the border inside Russia, where troops and equipment are massing. 5/16
Ukraine has been trying to use drones for attacking staging areas inside Russia, but they are not area weapons that can decimate troop and equipment concentrations. 6/16
As a result of the defensive umbrella provided by team Biden, Russian forces and logistics deployed on the border with Kharkiv are feeling much more comfortable than Russian forces and logistics in Donbas, which makes resupplying and bringing in reinforcements easier. 7/16
Some Ukrainian units have complained about insufficient fortifications, but part of the problem is that Russia’s glide bombs are quite effective against most fortifications, not to mention the huge Russian artillery advantage exacerbated by limited Western shell shipments. 8/16
Just like in Donbas, Ukraine needs to destroy Russian jets before they drop glide bombs, but in Kharkiv the situation is worse because those bombs are dropped from inside Russian airspace, where the West doesn’t want its already insufficient air defense missiles to be used. 9/16
Russia will push as far as it can into Kharkiv without taking the city of Kharkiv for which it does not currently have the men or equipment. If it can put Ukraine’s second largest city into artillery range, it will make life there even more unbearable than it already is. 10/16
Most importantly, Russia is gradually returning to the larger initial scope of its full invasion in 2022, but this time it has learned from many of its past mistakes and is capitalizing on the West refusing to learn from its own mistakes and properly arming Ukraine. 11/16
In late 2022, Ukraine was on the offensive, forcing Russia to withdraw its limited troops to Donbas, which became Russia’s primary focus. Now that the West has deprived Ukraine of weapons needed for defense, not to mention offense, Russia has a new opportunity. 12/16
With a weapons-starved Ukraine facing a much bigger Russian army than in 2022, Russia can simply entrench itself in parts of previously liberated regions such as Kharkiv and Sumy but with simpler logistics and no imminent Ukrainian offensive to worry about. 13/16
Russia doesn’t need to reoccupy all the territory that Ukraine already liberated, it just needs to have enough entrenched tentacles to spread Ukrainian defenses thin, terrorize more Ukrainians, and strengthen the narrative that it’s succeeding. 14/16
The Putin regimes peddles the narrative that Russia is unstoppable, which not only sells well in the West, but is a convenient excuse for the inaction of Western politicians who would’ve preferred Ukraine losing quickly in 2022 to dealing with it fighting back for so long. 15/16
Russia’s Kharkiv offensive is a challenge that is easily met by surging weapons to Ukraine. Ukrainians, of course, aren’t betting on that anymore and will fight alone if they have to, having learned many valuable military and political lessons in the last 2 years. 16/16
31 tankkia. Mitä ihmettä siellä on tapahtunut. Saattaa ne kyllä myös olla niitä T-55:sia, mutta silti taitaa sekin olla jos ei ennätys, niin ainakin Top 3.
Tästä ei ilmeisesti ollut palstalla vielä nostoa
Aiemmin keskusteltiin mm siitä minkä takia Suomen 155mm tuotannossa ei ajeta täydellä kapasiteetilla.
"TNT, eli trotyyli, on erityisesti tykistön- ja kranaatinheittimien ammuksissa käytetty perinteinen räjähdeaine. Sen massavalmistaminen on huomattavasti edullisempaa kuin uudempien räjähdysaineiden.
Tällä hetkellä TNT-räjähteiden saatavuutta pidetään Euroopassa lähes kriittisenä. Ainoa EU-alueen tehdas on Puolassa, mutta tuotanto ei riitä kovaan kysyntään."
“Häkkäsen mukaan TNT-räjähteiden tuotanto on keskeisessä asemassa Ukrainan sodan tilanteessa. Ammustuotanto on kulutussodassa ratkaisevan kriittinen asia.”
Euroopan puolustusteollisuus on hyvin keskittynyttä ja tuotantoketjut optimoituja, joten pullonkauloja syntyy väistämättä kysynnän kasvaessa nopeasti. Erinomainen asia saada näitä investointeja ja tuotantoa Suomen rajojen sisälle, Suomen lisäksi Euroopan, Ukrainan, Naton kyvykkyys ja toimintavarmuus paranevat 
Tässä ei ole suoranaisesti Venäjästä kyse, vaan Kiinasta. Asia on kuitenkin yhteinen. Puolustautuminen drooneilta ja uusimmilta hypersoonisilta ohjuksilta on tällä hetkellä vaikeaa ja vaikka aselajit ovat täysin erilaiset ja niiden käyttö on aselajien ääripäissä, puolustautuminen niitä vastaan voi tapahtua samalla tavalla.
Lentotukialukset voivat olla elinkaarensa päässä? Yhdysvaltojen ja maailman voimakkain sotakone on pulassa, ennen kuin se on seilannut telakalta.
The $13.3 billion Ford is the largest and most expensive warship ever to sail. It boasts a sprawling five-acre flight deck and new technologies aimed at making it (and carriers like it) the world’s most powerful well into 2050 and beyond. The vessel holds four squadrons of fighters on board and a bevy of support and tactical aircraft—more than 60 planes in all, though it can accommodate as many as 90. Its airpower exceeds that of at least 60 nations, and it houses more stealth fighters than are found in all of Russia’s armed forces.
But new anti-ship missiles from China, some capable of maneuvering at hypersonic speeds above Mach 5, threaten to render Ford and the Navy’s entire Pacific Fleet obsolete.
A sobering report from the Congressional Research Service, updated in August 2022, points to concerns “about the survivability of Navy surface ships in potential combat situations against adversaries, such as China, that are armed with large numbers of UAVs and anti-ship missiles, including advanced models.”
Laserase pystyy ampumaan ja osumaan samalla hetkellä. Jos tulenjohto pystyy prosessoimaan ohjuksen liikettä ja positiota tarpeeksi nopeasti, osuminen ei ole ongelma.
Essentially, lasers turn energy into ammo. Powered by nuclear reactors like those on Ford, they can potentially fire thousands or even tens of thousands of times at incoming munitions. And because laser beams travel at the speed of light, lasers can track and target unpredictable weapons like China’s hypersonic DF-ZF better than conventional missiles—gunners won’t have to lead a target and anticipate its location the way they do currently.
Aseen käyttökustannukset ovat pähkinöitä.
The Congressional Research Service estimates that firing a high-powered laser will cost somewhere between $1 and $10—just a fraction of the $1 million to $10 million that defensive missiles cost.
10 vuotta sitten ensimmäinen testi. Tulokset olivat vakuuttavia.
In 2014, the Navy installed the first laser on a ship for sea trials. Fitted forward on the deck of the amphib transport ship USS Ponce, the 33-kilowatt AN/SEQ-3 Laser Weapon System (LaWS) had a short, round firing tube painted white.
As the raft sped away, gunners used the LaWS’s sensors to aim the laser. … It fires silently and without warning—an invisible ray of extremely agitated atoms traveling at the speed of light. Instantly, the replica cannons atop the Zodiac explode, and shrapnel splashes into the ocean nearby. It’s a direct, accurate hit, with no visible damage to the boat or the driver.
In another test, the LaWS successfully took out a drone launched from the deck of a nearby ship. As the laser engaged the drone, the intense heat cut into the aircraft like a blowtorch.
7 vuotta myöhemmin. Riittääkö tämä droonipuolustukseen? Ehkä, jos aseen nopeus on riittävä ja niitä on useampia.
A second, stronger laser entered trials in 2019; then in August 2022, the Navy installed its first permanent laser on a destroyer, the Arleigh Burke–class Preble. Developed by Lockheed Martin, the weapon has a 60-kilowatt power output that integrates with the ship’s advanced AEGIS radar and weapons control system.
Lockheed Martin says the weapon could eventually scale to 150 kilowatts, but even at that strength it will be most useful against drones and small surface ships.
Hypersooniset ohjukset tarvitsevat vielä voimakkaampaa laseria.
To stop a barrage of cruise missiles or a hypersonic weapon barreling toward Ford at Mach 5 or faster, the Navy needs something much more powerful.
The Navy plans to begin testing a 300-kilowatt weapon as early as next year and calls the experimental weapon HELCAP, for High Energy Laser Counter ASCM Program.
Työ ei ole vielä tehty. Uusimmat Mach10 nopeudella liikkuvat hypersooniset ohjukset tarvitsevat vielä suurempaa tehoa.
Even HELCAP won’t be enough to stop hypersonic missiles flying at speeds up to Mach 10. Those weapons are manufactured to withstand temperatures of 1,700 degrees Fahrenheit or hotter. The Pentagon believes it may take a 1-megawatt laser, more than three times the power of HELCAP, to stop them.
Tämä voi olla existentiaalinen kysymys siinä vaiheessa, kun Kiina päättää, tehdäkkö Taiwanin invaasio. Se, voiko Yhdysvallat turvallisesti tuoda lentotukialuksia Taiwanin puolustukseksi, voi määrittää laskelman lopputuloksen.
For the Pentagon, which has billions invested in aircraft carriers, that technology can’t arrive soon enough. Given the rapid emergence of China’s anti-ship weapons, warships like Ford are more vulnerable than they have been in 80 years. The fate of the world’s most powerful navy could be decided by a single, well-aimed hypersonic shot.
Asiaan liittyen, briteillä on nyt ainakin jossakin käytössä Dragonfire.
Venäjä pyrkii aivopesemään mobikit kuolemaan Putinin puolesta. Ne, joille tuuba ei mene läpi, on sulkukomppaniat selustassa.
Vertailun vuoksi noihin lukemiin voisi laittaa tähän Andrew Perpetuan yleensä päivittäin koostamat todennetut tappiot erilaisista osint-lähteistä.
Venäjän huipulla tuulee. 
https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1790332793270210927
Tällä Välin Ukrainassa. Venäjän hyökkäys on tylpistynyt paitsi sotilaiden rajun vastarinnan, myös siviilien tarjoaman tuen ja taitavien paikalliskomentajien ansiosta.
Update from Kharkiv: Russia is not giving up attempts to break through Ukrainian defenses, but they have not been able to achieve any success at the operational level that would merit the large losses. Here’s what we know so far. 1/12
https://x.com/StateOfUkraine/status/1790294411349250349
Tällä välin Eurooppa tekee parhaansa tukeakseen Venäjän sotakonetta. 
En ymmärrä miksi Venäjän puolustusministeriön johdossa kipuillaan. Sotahan on ollut Venäjälle suurmenestys! Tänäänkin ilmoitettiin että Venäjä on tuhonnut koko Euroopan kaikki panssarivaunut yms. järjestelmät Ukrainassa:
Taas on poksahdellut ja 7500 tankkia on neljän kappaleen päässä!
Crimillä poksahdellut normaalia enemmän viime yönä. vahvistusta odotellaan mutta vaikuttaa siltä että useampi örkkien lentokone tuhottu
A series of explosions similar to the detonation of ammunition occurred in Crimea at night, both local residents and russian media reported.
According to available information, it is known that about 20 explosions were heard. Three fires are reported at Belbek airfield in Sevastopol
https://x.com/jurgen_nauditt/status/1790610101440557083
Initial Reports coming from Russian Sources that Sevastopol International Airport also known as Belbek Military Airfield in Russian-Occupied Crimea has been Attacked by what is believed to be several Long-Range Variants of the MGM-140 Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS).
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1790531502498873461
Ukrainian forces reportedly carried out a massive missile strike on Belbek Airbase in Russian occupied Crimea, utilizing MGM-140 ATACMS tactical ballistic missiles.
The NASA FIRMS maps show extensive fires at the spot where Russia parks numerous air planes.
https://x.com/Tendar/status/1790600017817878990
Full footage of the clash between Ukrainian border guards from Frozen Group and Russian invaders in Kharkiv Oblast on 10 May.
https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1790522290406322534
“The north is Ukraine. The south is russia. Do you know where the sun rises from? Use the sun to guide you. We don’t shoot there,” — the russian occupiers explain to the Nepalese mercenaries where to fire.
https://x.com/albafella1/status/1790391253957243368
Venäjän kemikaali-ali “tiedottaja al-Sahhaf” on irtisanoutunut. Varmaan ihan vapaaehtoisesti.
https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1790403105290400250
Hiuksien halkomista, mutta kemikaali ali oli eri henkilö. Toki tämä tiedottaja al-Sahhaf yhtä koominen hahmo kuin Konashenkov.
Ensi tietoja viime yön Krimin iskusta:
1 MiG-31 was destroyed.
3 Su-27s were damaged.
2 S-300 air defense installations.
11 
soldiers eliminated
https://twitter.com/officejjsmart/status/1790695408366170291?t=5Rrut_aLi00pEpen-WaYJQ&s=
Pidempi video:
https://twitter.com/UkraineNewsLive/status/1790697511306342470?t=iPq0j1WL9uyv5d1m_NgKGA&s=19
Tiedot venäläislähteistä eli eiköhän tappiot oikeasti ole suuremmat
the first footages showing the aftermath of the ATACMS strike on Russian Belbek military airfield, near Sevastopol, Crimea.
https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1790716403894378742?t=cud1Q8ugJZYF1YuPKYEcqQ&s=19
Tällainen vehje siis ilmeisesti kyseessä
Russian 92N6 radar station of the S-400 air defence system
Slovak Prime Minister Fico is wounded in an assassination attempt
Slovak media reports that several shots rang out after a meeting of the Slovak Cabinet, when Prime Minister Fico came out to the public. Now the Prime Minister of Slovakia is being taken to hospital.
There is no information about the shooter’s motives yet.
Witness tells Slovakian outlet Dennik N that she saw “bloody injuries” coming from Slovakia’s prime minister’s head and chest after he was shot
Video
https://twitter.com/runews/status/1790732269151236556?t=_o6ITrXh0_QWya2KvCYcEg&s=19
