Xebec Adsorption - Uusiutuvan kaasun puhdistusta Kanadasta

https://www.google.com/amp/s/seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4416138-xebec-adsorption-inc-xebef-ceo-kurt-sorschak-on-q4-2020-results-earnings-call-transcript

En löytänyt muualta konffapuhelun sisältöä (en edes yhtiön sivuilta), mutta tuossa on. Mielestäni hyvä kysymys-osio. Tässä jotain pointteja:

-odottavat RNG puolen tilausongelmien näkyvän vielä q1 ja q2, mutta h2 ei pitäisi enää näkyä
-odottavat tekevänsä kaikkiaan n. 25-30 yritysostoa vuoteen 2025 mennessä ja tällä hetkellä olisi tarkkailun alla sellainen 5 yhtiötä
-eivät kommentoineet joukkokanteesta sen aikaisen tilanteen vuoksi.

  • Kiinassa odottavat tulevaisuudessa isoa kasvua

Lisään muita, joh tulee vielä mieleen. Jokaisen kannattaa kuitenkin tuo lukea, jos kiinnostaa, missä mennään ainakin johdon mielestä (ei ole tae tulevaisuuden tuotoista :wink:)

E. Niin ja olikohan juuri director Kurt Sorchak, joka lupasi lisäävänsä omistusta konffassa. Ainakin marketbeatin perusteella lisäillyt maaliskuun lopussa:

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Huomasin äsken, että SNN Network on julkaissut tänään vajaan tunnin mittaisen haastattelun Kurt Sorschakista, hallituksen pj ja tj. En ole ehtinyt kuunnella vielä.

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Revenues increased by $8.4 million to $20.6 million for the three-month period ended March 31, 2021, compared to $12.2 million for the same period the prior year.

Adjusted EBITDA of ($5.8) million for the three-month period ended March 31, 2021, compared to $0.7 million for the same period last year.

Net loss of $9.2 million or ($0.06) per share in the three-month period ended March 31, 2021 compared to a net loss of $0.7 million or ($0.01) per share compared for the same period in the prior year.

Working capital of $129.4 million on March 31, 2021, for a current ratio of 3.6:1, compared to working capital of $171.1 million and a current ratio of 4.1:1 on December 31, 2020.

Management guidance maintained for fiscal 2021, consisting of consolidated revenues in the range of $110.0 to $130.0 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin in the range of 3.0% to 4.0%.

As at March 31, 2021, the company had $108.5 million of cash compared to $168.6 million as at December 31, 2020.

E1 Tähän oli netistä analyytikoinen konsensusta vaikea löytää. Yahoo Financen mukaan olisi eps pitänyt olla -0,03 ja liikevaihto 23,72 miljoonaa, joten noista nyt jäätiin.

E2 tuota tulostahan laski edelleen ne projektiepäonnistumiset, joista ilmoitettiin alkuvuonna. Nyt kuitenkaan raportissa ei ollut mainintaa, kuinka paljon. Pitää lukea konffan transcript, kunhan tulee saataville.

E3 toki positiivista, että toistivat loppuvuoden tavoitteet, mutta xebecin johto tuntien ne saattavat mennä metsään.

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MONTREAL, (QC), May 19, 2021 – Xebec Adsorption Inc. (TSX: XBC) (“Xebec”), a global provider of clean energy solutions, is pleased to announce Jim Vounassis will be appointed as Chief Operating Officer (“COO”) and Mike Munro will join as the company’s first Vice President Global Operations effective May 31, 2021.

Mr. Vounassis is a transformational senior executive with strong international experience and a proven track record in driving organizational performance. He was most recently COO at Bombardier Transportation (TSX: BBD.B), now part of Alstom, which is one of the world’s largest rail equipment manufacturing companies. Mr. Vounassis was responsible for the operations aspects of the $8 billion revenue business and empowered over 15,000 employees to deliver innovative rail solutions across global markets.

As the incoming Vice President Global Operations, Mr. Munro is an award-winning senior executive with a record in managing North American based businesses with strong expertise in business development, operations and strategic planning. He was most recently the Canadian General Manager at GE Power Conversion. Mr. Munro had a longstanding career at GE as a Vice President and General Manager in several business units and was recognized for his skill at turning around poorly performing divisions and restructuring business lines generating over $200 million in revenues.

Ei turhia kavereita. Toivottavasti etenkin tuo Munro olisi sateentekijä noiden projektihässäköiden jälkeen

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Total consideration payable by Xebec is £12.0 million ($20.6 million CAD) and is subject to certain holdbacks, adjustments and time-based payments. TFL had revenues of £2.7 million ($4.6 million CAD), an EBITDA margin of 42% and a net income margin of 34% for FY2020. Furthermore, Xebec expects that TFL will immediately provide cost savings by displacing parts currently bought by its existing subsidiaries within the Cleantech Service Network, HyGear, Inmatec and its headquarters in Québec.

Hyvän oloinen hankinta

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Nyt tuli hyvänoloinen sopimusuutinen:

it has signed a Master Service Agreement (“MSA”) with a leading U.S.-based renewable natural gas (“RNG”) dairy farm project developer for the purchase of BGX Biostream™ (“Biostream”) units. The MSA will support the order of an initial 18 units, with the potential for additional orders under the same service agreement. This agreement represents the single largest unit order the company has received to date for Biostream and the largest in number of systems ever awarded in North America for dairy farm biogas upgrading projects.

Xebec’s Canadian manufacturing facility is being modified and is expected to allow for the annual production of approximately 30 to 40 Biostream units. In addition, the company is exploring new capacity in the U.S. as more purchase orders are signed.

Sopparin hintaa ei mainittu, mutta tuosta voi laskea suuntaa antavaa:

Starting at a list price of USD $1.5 million, Biostream is an ideal solution for dairy farmers because of its containerized and fully automated design that offers easy and quick installation and commissioning, which combined, takes approximately 10 days. Customers will also enjoy the peace of mind knowing that Xebec’s Cleantech Service Network (CSN) will support them locally throughout the entire setup process and for the lifetime of their renewable natural gas equipment.

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Lisätään vielä tuohon tilaukseen liittyen Motleyn artikkeli asiasta. Yleensä nuo on täyttä kuraa ainakin jenkki-vety-yhtiöiden kohdalla, mutta Xebecin kohdalla kirjoittavat yleensä ihan asiaakin. Toki poikkeuksellisesti ovat härkämäisiä Xebecin suhteen.

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Yhtiön q2 julkaistaan 12.8. ennen pörssin aukenemista. Kun nyt olisivat saaneet projektiongelmat selätettyä ja pysyisivät lupauksissaan, niin uskaltaisin lisätä omistusta. Ainakin uutisvirta q2:n aikana ollut ihan hyvää.

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Xebec Adsorption Inc. (TSX: XBC) (“Xebec”), a global provider of clean energy solutions, is pleased to announce that Mr. Brian Levitt has joined Xebec’s Board of Directors, effective today. Mr. Levitt was previously a special advisor to the Board, providing counsel with respect to strategic, commercial and corporate finance matters.

Herra Levitt vakuuttanut johdon asiantuntemuksellaan. Saa nähdä, näkyykö huomenna miehen kädenjälki itse rapsassa.

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Analyytikoiden odotukset tänään julkaistavasta osarista. Kopioita Business Insiders -sivulta:

10 analysts forecast losses of CAD 0.017 per share as opposed to losses of CAD 0.010 in the same quarter of the previous year.

Analysts are expecting sales to increase 46.48% compared to the prior year quarter. The company is expected to report CAD 28.7 million.

E. What Wall Street expects from Xebec Adsorption's earnings | Markets Insider

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No niin, rapsa ulkona:

Liikevaihto yli ennusteiden ja tulos taasen ei. Lisäksi negatiivisena ohjeistus muutettiin tappiolliseksi koko vuoden osalta:

  • Record revenues of $32.7 million for the three-month period ended June 30, 2021, compared to $19.6 million for the same period the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of ($4.6) million for the three-month period ended June 30, 2021, compared to ($0.1) million for the same period last year.
  • Net loss of $7.5 million or ($0.05) per share in the three-month period ended June 30, 2021, compared to a net loss of $0.8 million or ($0.01) per share compared for the same period in the prior year.
  • Working capital of $97.4 million on June 30, 2021, for a current ratio of 2.9:1, compared to working capital of $171.1 million and a current ratio of 4.1:1 on December 31, 2020.
  • Management guidance updated with revenues maintained in the range of $110.0 to $130.0 million and adjusted EBITDA margins lowered in the range of -3.0% to -4.0% from 3.0% to 4.0%. Adjusted EBITDA margin is affected by new investments in supporting higher than originally forecasted future revenues and lower gross margins from RNG projects.
  • As at June 30, 2021, the company had $79.9 million of cash and restricted cash compared to $168.6 million as at December 31, 2020.

Kuitenkin jotain hyvääkin toimarin sanoin:

CEO Quote:

“In Q2 we delivered record quarterly revenues as we continued to build the organisational foundations which will support us to manage and operate a significantly larger and more diversified cleantech company. While we still saw a meaningful impact from our legacy production type RNG contracts, I am happy to report that this impact will be reduced going forward. The rest of our verticals in hydrogen, oxygen, nitrogen, and the Cleantech Service Network, are EBITDA profitable and continue to perform very well from a revenue growth and margin perspective.

2021 has been challenging so far, but we anticipate improved performance for the rest of the year accompanied by strong year-over-year revenue growth as we prepare for continued growth into 2022 and beyond. Over the next few quarters, we also expect a progressive return to normal EBITDA performance. I am proud of the foundation the team is building as we tackle the long-standing need for renewable and decentralized on-site gas generation solutions around the world,” stated Kurt Sorschak, Chairman, President and CEO of Xebec Adsorption Inc.

Ja lisäksi:

Xebec continues to see increasingly favourable political and regulatory backdrop for its products and services, as evidenced by the recent master service agreement for 18 BGX Biostream with a leading US dairy RNG developer, as referred to above.

While consolidated gross margins continue to be impacted by the previously announced loss making long-term, production-type RNG contracts, the company expects that this impact will be tapered down in subsequent quarters. Xebec has implemented learnings from these contracts and expects that with its new standard Biostream product, its improved quoting processes and adjusted installation and integration processes, margins will start to revert to normal levels with new contracts.

Continued strong demand for our products has led Xebec to commence investments in its renewable natural gas, hydrogen, oxygen, and nitrogen generation segments. These investments include continued improvements and expansion in Biostream sales and production capacity, significantly increasing Inmatec’s production floorspace and expanding sales and production staffing which will allow for future revenue growth. Xebec believes that these are necessary investments to achieve a larger market presence, taking advantage of growing market opportunities.

Overall, Xebec expects that Biostream will lead to a stronger organic revenue growth profile for the segment, more predictable cost management and improved gross margins. With larger quantities of standardized components and parts, Xebec has started to see significant improvements in economies of scale as it prepares for assembly of the second-generation Biostream. This is an improvement over the less predictable and lower gross margins seen in its long-term, production-type RNG contracts, which have experienced cost overruns.

Xebec continues to see increased interest for its hydrogen PSA purification platform worldwide as more hydrogen generation systems and refueling stations come online. For example, a $1.2 million hydrogen PSA order was received in Q2 2021 from a customer in Poland for a hydrogen refueling station producing approximately 160kg/hr of hydrogen. The company is in advanced discussions with several parties and expects to receive larger-scale hydrogen purification contracts in the next few months.

SIinäpä sitä. Myynti käy ilmeisesti entistä paremmin, mutta viime vuoden RNG-projektit kivirekenä vievät tulosta tappiolliseksi. Vuoden alussa mainitsivat, että nuo projektit tulevat painamaan tulosta ainakin H1 ajan, mutta ilmeisesti tämän perusteella myös H2:n tulosta. Mielestäni Xebec on nyt voimakkaasti uskomis-case eli että johto saa alarivinkin käännettyä. Saa nähdä, mitä markkinat tykkäävät. Ainakin osakkeen hinta on painettu maanmutiin.

e1: Pahoitin myös hieman mieleni, kun näytti siltä, että tilaukset olisivat vuodessa laskeneet. Löytyikin tieto, ettei backlog sisällä isoa, 18 yksikön biostream-sopparia. Lisäksi katselin vielä lukuja ja nyt tehtiin q2:n aikaan liikevaihtoa kivasti enemmän kuin mitä vuosi sitten koko h1 aikana. Toki täytyy muistaa, että h1 oli korona-aikaa vahvasti.

e2: Voisikohan tätä jo verrata Kanadan Caverioniksi. :upside_down_face:

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Ja vielä otteita scriptistä:

As this once in a lifetime energy transition progresses, we are anticipating increased market demand for our renewable onsite generated gases. And I can say due to already increasing demand that we are seeing today, we have decided to scale up our manufacturing capabilities in Europe and North America. In order to become a meaningful player in this energy transition and to be able to benefit from the opportunities this transition offers, we will need to significantly increase our manufacturing capacity to feel the demand for low carbon energy solutions.

We have started production of 30 Biostream units in our Quebec facility and we are currently looking to meaningfully expand our manufacturing capacities in the U.S. In Germany, we have taken steps to significantly increase production capacity at Inmatec with a goal to double revenues in the next three years.

I encourage you to check out the profiles of our management team and our board on our website. Finally, our top line gross remains on track and our Plainville operation team is working hard to return our RNG business to profitability. Our SG&A investments are significant but necessary for us to be able to make the transition from a small manufacturer to a more meaningful manufacturer of renewable and onsite gas systems and solutions.

Overall, as I said before, I’m very pleased with our progress. And the second half of 2021 is shaping up to be strong. This year, they’ll showcase our continued growth ability as we built the foundation for more growth and the return to profitability in 2022 and beyond.

Our gross margin was $5 million for the second quarter of 2021, compared to $4.3 million for the same period in 2020. The gross margin percentage decreased from 22% to 15% is due to working through the company’s lower margin RNG projects. In addition, the lower margin for RNG project is also impacted by larger overhead we’re carrying to prepare for a ramp up in Biostream production.

As you can see, the first half of the year, we booked almost as many revenues as we did in the entire 2020, which is quite impressive. As we turn through the legacy RNG contract, the bottom line will continue to improve. And the new investment we’re making today will also support higher future revenues in 2022 and beyond. Xebec as an aggressive growth plan, having achieved a 68% revenue CAGR this quarter since Q2 2017 and the outlook remains positive.

We aim to service and maintain the equipment we deploy in addition to our competitors, as installations are deployed across North America and Europe. This will also support our shift to a more recurring services model over time, which will help improve the predictability and profitability of the overall business.

As Kurt and Stéphane mentioned earlier, we continue to work through the legacy RNG contracts, and we expect the impact on our gross margin to taper down in the second half of this year, as we move from our manufacturing to our startup and commissioning phase.

On July 22, 2021, U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown and John Thune reintroduced bipartisan legislation to encourage investment in biodigester and nutrient recovery systems. Their bill known as the agricultural environmental stewardship act provides a 30% investment tax credit to help offset the upfront cost associated with building biodigester systems.

If passed, this legislation along with other initiatives are expected to result in an accelerated buildup of U.S. RNG projects.

Our decentralized hydrogen production hubs will be a key pillar to growth, given the localized demand we see in certain regions. We are currently scoping North American partners to build a hub in the country and currently have one under construction in the UK with – gases. And our expanding our existing hub in Arnhem, Netherlands, because of more demand coming online.

As I mentioned earlier, we are maintaining our revenue guidance of $110 million to $130 million, but we are updating our adjusted EBITDA guidance. The impact of the legacy RNG contracts and dollar decision to significantly invest in our SG&A and manufacturing capacity has pushed a return to positive adjusted EBITDA generation into 2022. Our water backlog for renewable gas equipment remain solid, as we transition to more recurring revenues from services, parts and molecules sales.

Q&A

Do you expect the Q3 backlog to be significantly increased due to the Biostream orders? If you add those 18 Biostream orders into our backlog, which we haven’t done, our order backlog would be over $100 million.

Do you expect the margin impact of the problematic RNG contracts to be limited to this quarter? Or do you still expect to see the effect on gross margin in the upcoming quarters? think we have worked through the majority of the impact, there is still some uncertainty. We still have some installation and commissioning work to be done. But overall, I think as we said in our presentation, we expect a significantly improved second half of the year.

Can you comment on what you expect the margins to be on the second generation Biostream product run?It’s early on, but we expect it to be solidly in the double-digits as we come down the learning curve in our production and as we optimize our supply chain.

How competitive is the BGX Biostream in the market? When I look at what our competitors offer, they offer not complete systems, they offer basically individual components that the client needs to integrate, or an EPC company needs to integrate. Our system is a complete system, it’s a containerized system, you install it in five days, you started up in three days, basically in 10 days, you are up and running. That’s a huge difference to where the market is today.

Can you talk a bit more about the green hydrogen produced from RNG using HyGear’s technologies and the pipeline in that regard and also its competitiveness to green hydrogen from when solar and hydro farms? We have the technology to upgrade the biogas to RNG, and we have the technology which our containerized steam methane reformers systems to further reform its RNG into green hydrogen. Today electrolysis is four to six times more expensive than hydrogen out of natural gas or out of RNG. RNG, obviously you need to add the carbon credits to it, but today electrolysis is not a competitive technology, that’s why you are seeing when we are announcing projects with industrial partners, they are not asking us, we have the capability to provide electrolyzer installations, but they are not asking us for electrolyzer installations. They’re asking us for steam methane reforming installations, because for them, cost is still a considerable factor.

In regards to the 18 Biostream units, were any service agreements attached to those hardware sales? We are currently offering in the process actually discussing service agreements for these 18 units. And I would expand by saying we have now a service agreement offering that we finalized with our Cleantech Services Network that will also be offering on all new bids that come in as well as going back to some of our existing customers and other customers, other products in the regions where we feel that we can provide the service and maintain them.

When do you hope to complete the capacity expansion to 30 to 40 Biostream units?Yes, we expect that by the end of Q3, we’ll have completed basically the majority of the work that we need to do for the expansion for our 30 to 40 Biostream, as we hit the production floor running basically in Q4 to meet our ramp up.

Ja paljon muuta.

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Uutta tilausta Turkkiin teräsyhtiön kanssa. Ei paljastettu sopparin arvoa. Eilen rallateltiin ylös ja innostuin katselemaan sisäpiiriostoja. En löytänyt eiliseltä mitään, mutta näemmä elokuussa ja syyskuussa johto on tankkailut. Lähde:

https://m.canadianinsider.com/node/7?menu_tickersearch=XBC+|+Xebec+Adsorption+Inc.

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